Kevin Mcgonigle
Today's Matchup ?Live matchup data for today's game. Pitcher stats, report flags, park factor, and weather all feed into the model score.
SEA @ DET · 1:40p
Luis Castillo
(RHP)
HR/FB 14.3% vs LHH ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHH/vs RHH chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.
HR/9 1.06 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. Higher = pitcher gives up more longballs.
FIP 4.09 ?Fielding Independent Pitching — isolates pitcher skill from defense. Higher FIP = more HR-vulnerable.
#213
⚪ D
Comerica Park
Park × 0.903 ?Park factor for this stadium. Values above 1.0 boost HR probability; below 1.0 suppress it. Based on multi-year park HR data.
WT -1 ?Weather modifier. Positive = wind/heat boost HRs. Negative = cold/headwind suppresses them. Based on live game-time weather data.
HR Profile
?Statcast-style HR metrics for this batter — same fields the model scores on. Red = elite, orange = above average, blue = below average, grey = no data.
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
0.116
ISO ?Isolated Power (SLG − AVG). >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.
22th pctile
87.9
Avg EV (mph) ?Average exit velocity (mph) on all batted balls. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg.
30th pctile
9.5%
Barrel% ?Percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA combo). >12% elite.
63th pctile
3.9% vs RHP
HR/FB ?Home runs per fly ball for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.
9th pctile
402
Avg HR Dist (ft) ?Average distance of this batter's HRs in feet. >400 elite raw power.
70th pctile
0.0%
Season HR% ?HRs ÷ plate appearances this season. v3.5 model feature — strongest single backtest contributor.
0.0%
14d Pace ?HRs per game over last 14 days. v3.5 model feature — captures current hot/cold streak.
6.0%
Match% ?Combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate — the headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.
8th pctile
41
BBE ?Batted-ball events — sample size. Treat stats with caution below 30.
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No results history for Kevin Mcgonigle
This batter hasn't appeared in the scored pool yet.